Mamata Banerjee appears increasingly rattled by the BJP, especially following the saffron party’s resounding victory in Bihar. Her recent series of assertive statements on SIR and minority rights in Bengal reflects the pressure she is facing.
Since independence, West Bengal, the land of Rabindranath Tagore, was ruled by the Communists for decades. The Congress remained the primary opposition, while the BJP had little presence. It was Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress (TMC) that dismantled the Communist stronghold, establishing itself firmly in power ever since.
Over the years, the Congress faded from relevance, and the BJP emerged as the principal opposition party. In the last two elections, the BJP fought hard but failed to wrest Bengal from TMC. While conditions seem favorable for a BJP victory, the party lacks a charismatic leader capable of taking the fight directly to Mamata.
Some may point to BJP victories in states like Delhi, Rajasthan, and Uttar Pradesh without a clear Chief Ministerial candidate. However, these are Hindi heartland states where ideology often outweighs personality. In Bengal, however, Mamata’s deep-rooted grassroots network and personal charisma make it challenging for the BJP to secure a win solely on ideological grounds.
Ultimately, the contest remains Mamata Banerjee versus the BJP. Unless the party can find a leader matching her appeal, it will likely have to rely on ideology, anti-incumbency sentiment, and the influence of Prime Minister Modi to make significant inroads.
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