The latest India Today Mood of the Nation (MOTN) survey indicates that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is poised to retain power for a fourth consecutive term in the next general elections.
In Andhra Pradesh, the NDA, led locally by the Telugu Desam Party (TDP) under Chief Minister N. Chandrababu Naidu, is projected to return to power comfortably. In contrast, Telangana is expected to witness a tough contest, with the Congress holding a fair chance of coming back, primarily facing stiff competition from the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) rather than the Bharat Rashtra Samithi (BRS).
Nationally, the survey suggests that if Lok Sabha elections were held today, the BJP would likely maintain its dominance, with Prime Minister Modi’s leadership on foreign policy and national security continuing to be decisive factors.
In Andhra Pradesh, the survey reflects the continuing strength of the NDA alliance, which had swept the state in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, securing 21 seats: TDP – 16, Jana Sena – 2, and BJP – 3, while the YSR Congress (YSRCP) won four seats. The current survey projects an even stronger consolidation for the NDA, with its vote share rising from 53% to 55% and seat projections increasing to 22–24. Meanwhile, the YSRCP vote share is expected to dip marginally from 40% to 39%, with seats projected to fall to 1–3.
A similar pattern is anticipated in the upcoming Assembly elections, with the TDP-led coalition positioned to return to power with a comfortable margin. Analysts attribute this continued optimism to initiatives like the “Super Six” governance promises and early policy measures. While YSRCP retains a significant vote base, the survey notes that without strong allies, it may struggle to convert votes into seats. Meanwhile, the Congress under Y.S. Sharmila remains stagnant at around 6%, showing little sign of revival.
Telangana presents a contrasting picture. The survey indicates an increasingly bipolar contest between the Congress and the BJP, with the BRS finding it difficult to regain its former dominance. In the 2024 elections, both the Congress and BJP won 8 seats each, while the BRS drew a blank. For the next elections, the Congress vote share is projected to rise slightly to about 41%, the BJP is expected to hold steady despite minor fluctuations, and the BRS vote share may improve slightly but not enough to convert into seats.
Political analysts note that the decline of the BRS has shifted Telangana’s political dynamics toward national parties, with Lok Sabha elections increasingly influenced by national considerations rather than regional identity.
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