Kamala Harris has taken an early lead in the potential 2028 Democratic presidential race, securing 50% support among Democratic voters, according to a recent Harvard CAPS/Harris poll.
The survey, conducted between April 23 and 26 among 2,745 registered voters, places Gavin Newsom in second with 22%. He is followed by Josh Shapiro at 9%, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 8%, and J. B. Pritzker at around 6%.
Harris has gained nine percentage points since March, extending her lead in a race where no major Democratic candidate has officially declared. The surge comes as she has openly indicated she is considering another presidential run. Speaking at a National Action Network event in April, she confirmed she is “thinking about” a 2028 bid—her clearest signal so far.
Having served as vice president from 2021 to 2025 and as the Democratic nominee in 2024, Harris has remained active nationally through public appearances and travel, maintaining strong visibility within party circles.
Crosstab data shows she enjoys solid support across key Democratic groups, including 71% backing from Black Democrats, and 50% each among Hispanic and Asian Democrats. Among White Democrats, she leads with 41%, ahead of Newsom’s 26%.
On the Republican side, J. D. Vance leads the early 2028 field with 48% support. He is followed by Donald Trump Jr. at 18%, Marco Rubio at 16%, and Ron DeSantis at 9%.
The poll also reflects a challenging national mood. Only 37% of respondents believe the country is on the right track, while economic concerns—particularly inflation and the cost of living—remain top issues. Just 34% feel the U.S. economy is moving in the right direction.
The online survey carries a margin of error of ±1.87 percentage points and is part of an ongoing monthly effort to track political sentiment ahead of the 2026 midterms and the 2028 presidential election.
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